基于改进广义成本函数的可靠性分配优化

可靠性分配优化问题的难点在于影响分配的各类因素与可靠性指标间关系的描述与表达.从可靠性成本与各类影响因素的内在关系人手,通过改进广义成本函数进行各类影响因素的融合处理,构建得出新的可靠性分配优化模型实现可靠性指标的综合求解.     

一种冲击信号调理电路的设计

针对测量冲击信号时,高冲击振动传感器输出的正负电荷信号不能直接被AD进行模数转换并且冲击信号中常常会混有噪声信号的问题,设计了一种包含电荷-电压转换、隔直放大、十阶抗混叠低通滤波等的冲击信号调理电路.并对冲击信号调理电路中各个模块进行了理论分析和节点参数的计算.通过实验:实际测量到的滤波曲线、冲击信号调理电路输出的电压都与理论计算值十分接近.此冲击信号调理电路能够成功地将传感器输出的正负电荷信号调理成一定范围内的电压信号,能够有效地滤除冲击信号中的高频噪声.     

汉语语境下教师对学生冲突性话语的回应策略与面子的语用分析

师生间的言语冲突在课堂教学中时有发生,而这一现象并未引起足够重视。课堂教学中师生间冲突性话语为本文的研究对象,分析其语言表现,并依据Brown&Levinson的面子威胁论,探析教师对于学生不合作话语引发的冲突回应,旨在揭示师生间冲突性话语的面子威胁性特征及语用理据。     

The impact of military expenditures on economic growth in the less developed countries∗

This paper presents the results of empirical research on the economic impact of military expenditure — milex — on the less developed countries. The hypothesis is that the impact on growth is a combination of three effects: (1) increased security — positive impact; (2) diversion of resources from productive investment — negative impact; and (3) pressure for more efficient government policies in response to the external threat — positive impact. The combination of these effects would produce a non‐linear relationship with the growth rate at first increasing as milex increased and then decreasing. For the full sample of 71 countries, we found the predicted relationship, however, it is not robust to changes in the sample. The robust conclusion is that there was no evidence of a negative impact of military spending on economic growth.     

TERRORISM AND TOURISM: THE CASE OF TURKEY

Using a time series method called ‘transfer function’, this paper examines the effect of terrorism on tourism in Turkey. The results indicate that there exists a negative but small impact of terrorism, which is observed within approximately one year. However, terrorist attacks in Turkey have accounted for a reduction of six million foreign tourists over the last nine years. Moreover, the economic cost of terrorism in the tourism industry was more than $700 million in 2006. However, terrorist attacks in continental Europe and America, and an active war involving a neighboring country, had no effects on tourism in Turkey.     

The Intergovernmental Authority on Development's Conflict Early Warning and Response Mechanism

The Intergovernmental Authority on Development's (IGAD) Conflict Early Warning and Response Mechanism (CEWARN) 2012–2019 Strategy Framework has proposed that the CEWARN mechanism expand its conflict typologies and geographic coverage. The argument advanced in this paper is that the proposed CEWARN expansion should be welcomed. Since its establishment in 2003, CEWARN had restricted itself to dealing with cross-border pastoral conflicts among the member states. However, conceptually and legally, CEWARN was not precluded from dealing with other types of conflict. Firstly, in the past, any conflict, other than cross-border pastoral ones, had been considered by the member states as firmly within their national jurisdiction that mechanisms like CEWARN are precluded from handling. Secondly, CEWARN, which has hitherto been dependent on external donations, just does not have the requisite financial resources to expand its coverage. Thirdly, and most importantly, governments often know the imminence of some, if not all, of the conflicts because they cause them. Thus, they are not interested in reacting to them. In the end, the paper concludes that the proposal to expand CEWARN's conflict portfolio and geographic spread may just remain that – a proposal.     

Deterrence of Nuclear Terror

Nuclear proliferation, lax security standards in the storage of fissile materials, and international apathy in the prosecution of terrorists make nuclear terror a serious threat to the United States and its allies, yet no doctrine of retaliation has been established. To decrease the probability of terrorist use of nuclear weapons, a doctrine of retaliation—a negligence doctrine—should be considered. If the United States can distinguish whose fissile material was used for a nuclear terror event, a negligence doctrine would prescribe retaliation against that state. Where the proximate cause—terrorists—is unavailable for deterrent retaliation, deterring an accessible mediate cause—a state that has failed to adequately secure its fissile material—is one of a few effective alternatives. In the absence of such a negligence doctrine, the United States and its allies are increasingly vulnerable to a nuclear terror attack and the ensuing negative consequences.     

着陆冲击试验系统设计及大型橡胶容器试验验证

为确保大型橡胶容器的运输适航性,依据中国民用航空局对运输类飞机的应急着陆过载要求,开展着陆冲击试验系统设计。通过冲击平台仿真设计与校核、波形发生器仿真设计、摆锤系统与导向机构设计,构建了着陆冲击试验系统,有效负载约达20 t,最大冲击载荷达到400 t。选取大型橡胶容器作为典型空运物资进行应急着陆实装试验验证,结果表明:冲击波形均近似为三角波,与仿真曲线波形相似,过载峰值分别为侧向1.54g、航向3.06g、9.02g、16.20g,与目标峰值最大相对误差小于3%,峰值对应时间大于50 ms,试验系统符合设计要求。该试验系统可用于空运平台的研制,对于确保飞行安全、降低研制风险、提高空运适航性具有重要的意义。     

某型铜材料动态力学性能的数值模拟研究

采用一种高效的应力更新算法,运用Fortran语言编写Johnson—Cook本构模型的Vuamt子程序,模拟材料在高速冲击工况下的动态力学性能,研究塑性大应变、高应变率以及温度软化作用对材料力学性能的影响。